How much revenue did Wildfrost make?

$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wildfrost sell?

Q: How many copies did Wildfrost sell?

220k to 357k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 220k–357k; $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wildfrost and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wildfrost's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 433k–443k

best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Wildfrost

A typical game among these

≈ 433k–443k copies

≈ $3.6M–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (8 of 8) and Deckbuilding (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Rogue-like, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Deckbuilding + Card Battler + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.3M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	220k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Chrono Ark 2024	Est. copies ≈ 342k–555k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderAnime
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 15x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Ratropolis 2020	Est. copies ≈ 137k–223k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $680k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	6k reviews Very Positive	2DDeckbuilding
Across the Obelisk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeStrategy
9 Kings 2025	Est. copies ≈ 580k–942k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRogue-like
Gordian Quest 2022	Est. copies ≈ 150k–244k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGCard Game