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How many copies did Ratropolis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 137k–223k
$680k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ratropolis and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ratropolis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 903k–5.3M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Ratropolis

A typical game among these

≈ 903k–5.3M copies

≈ $3.6M–$37.5M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (6 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCard Game
Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
ROUNDS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFighting
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Griftlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 359k–584k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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