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How many copies did Talent Club ~ Match 3 Puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 106 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Talent Club ~ Match 3 Puzzle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Talent Club ~ Match 3 Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 177k–316k
best case 3.3M (Mirror)
Games like Talent Club ~ Match 3 Puzzle

A typical game among these

≈ 177k–316k copies

≈ $740k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 698.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (5 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $2. The breakout hits carry Hentai + NSFW + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hell Girls
2017
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Banner of the Maid
2019
Est. copies
≈ 241k–391k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
The Legend of Bum-Bo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 171k–278k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$705k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-liteIndie
Gems of War - Puzzle RPG
2014
Est. copies
≈ 606k–984k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMatch 3
Miss Neko 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Mikos Wish
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$244–$657 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
18 reviews
Mostly Negative
StrategyHentai
Mirror Chains
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$730 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
20 reviews
Negative
NSFWSexual Content

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