How much revenue did MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline make?

$407k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline sell?

Q: How many copies did MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline sell?

49k to 80k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 49k–80k; $407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.9M–25.6M

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like MEGA MAN X DiVE Offline

A typical game among these

≈ 5.9M–25.6M copies

≈ $46.0M–$91.7M after Steam's cut

from ~149k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (3 of 5) and Metroidvania (2 of 5).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Castle Crashers® 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.9M–14.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2DOnline Co-Op
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack