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How many copies did TaskPals sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–44k
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TaskPals and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TaskPals's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 275k–392k
best case 1.6M (Lossless Scaling)
Games like TaskPals

A typical game among these

≈ 275k–392k copies

≈ $2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Lossless Scaling at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Software (7 of 8) and Utilities (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Software, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry 2D + Pixel Graphics + Utilities; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR Performance Test
2016
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
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VRBenchmark
Lossless Scaling
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
UtilitiesSoftware
RetroArch
2022
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≈ 244k–397k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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Very Positive
Free to PlayRetro
Pixel Studio - pixel art editor
2019
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Free
Free
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Animation & ModelingPixel Graphics
Black Ink
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$207k–$557k after Steam's cut $377k–$858k before Steam's cut
$34.99
518 reviews
Very Positive
Design & IllustrationUtilities
Aseprite
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsDesign & Illustration
Pixel Game Maker MV
2019
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$403k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $733k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$84.99
599 reviews
Mixed
ActionCasual
Krita
2014
Est. copies
≈ 462k–751k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Design & IllustrationSoftware

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.