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How many copies did STAR OCEAN THE SECOND STORY R sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 100k–162k
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STAR OCEAN THE SECOND STORY R and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STAR OCEAN THE SECOND STORY R's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 696k–996k
best case 2.9M (OMORI)
Games like STAR OCEAN THE SECOND STORY R

A typical game among these

≈ 696k–996k copies

≈ $2.7M–$6.2M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 555 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Psychological Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Multiple Endings + RPGMaker; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Finding Paradise
2017
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
Grimm's Hollow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 421k–684k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPixel Graphics
LISA: The Painful
2014
Est. copies
≈ 851k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dark HumorRPG
Summer Memories
2020
Est. copies
≈ 625k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya
2021
Est. copies
≈ 815k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
CrossCode
2018
Est. copies
≈ 562k–914k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGPixel Graphics

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