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How many copies did Ancient Kingdoms sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–20k
$55k–$149k after Steam's cut $101k–$229k before Steam's cut
from 508 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ancient Kingdoms and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ancient Kingdoms's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–698k
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Ancient Kingdoms

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–698k copies

≈ $10k–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 572 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (8 of 8) and CRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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3.3x vs typical
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CRPGExploration
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Wizardry: Proving Grounds of the Mad Overlord
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Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
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Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Tactical RPGRPG
Hyper Dungeon Crawler
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≈ 298–484
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$573–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
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Mostly Positive
Traditional RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics
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Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
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$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$7.99
112 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationTactical RPG

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