How much revenue did Wayfinder make?

$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wayfinder sell?

Q: How many copies did Wayfinder sell?

666k to 1.1M copies, based on its 27k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 666k–1.1M; $4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.9M before Steam's cut; from 27k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wayfinder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wayfinder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.3M

best case 25.9M (Borderlands 2)

Games like Wayfinder

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.3M copies

≈ $26.2M–$49.2M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Borderlands 2 at ≈ 19.8M–32.1M copies, ≈ $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 75k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 128k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (6 of 8) and Hack and Slash (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dark Fantasy + Action RPG, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Multiplayer + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Path of Exile 2013	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	250k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Lost Ark 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.2M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGFree to Play
Diablo® IV 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.8M–$72.1M after Steam's cut $48.8M–$111.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	79k reviews Mixed	Action RPGHack and Slash
Path of Exile 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	227k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Wolcen: Lords of Mayhem 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Mixed	Action RPGHack and Slash
Torchlight II 2012	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.8M–$42.6M after Steam's cut $28.8M–$65.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	46k reviews Very Positive	RPGAction RPG
Borderlands 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 19.8M–32.1M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	313k reviews Very Positive	LootShooter
Borderlands: The Pre-Sequel 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.7M–$71.7M after Steam's cut $48.5M–$110.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	43k reviews Mostly Positive	Looter ShooterCo-op