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How many copies did Brazen Thief sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Brazen Thief and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Brazen Thief's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 521–545
best case 2k (Defense high)
Games like Brazen Thief

A typical game among these

≈ 521–545 copies

≈ $863–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~16 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Defense high at ≈ 1k–2k copies, ≈ $2k–$4k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 11 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Side Scroller (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Combat, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Tower Defense + 3D + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Defense high
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
49 reviews
Mixed
StrategyTower Defense
Nuclear Fighter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$24.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerCasual
The Last Fighter
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$347–$932 after Steam's cut $631–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
17 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerHero Shooter
Spin the World
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$579–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
17 reviews
Positive
Side ScrollerBullet Hell
Gunner Deadly Expedition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSpectacle fighter
Angry Giant
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
13 reviews
Positive
AdventureAction
Abiko The Miko
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Action RoguelikeExploration
Cyber Hunter: Awakening
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Spectacle fighterSide Scroller

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.