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How many copies did Gunner Deadly Expedition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gunner Deadly Expedition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gunner Deadly Expedition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 260–529
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Gunner Deadly Expedition

A typical game among these

≈ 260–529 copies

≈ $502–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~11 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 12.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (5 of 8) and Precision Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Difficult + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Spectacle fighter2D Platformer
The Last Fighter
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1.5x vs typical
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$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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Celeste
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Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
13554x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Naginata
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≈ 769–1k
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Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
58827x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
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Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Volcanon
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Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
ActionAction-Adventure

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