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How many copies did Wolfenstein 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 277k–450k
$380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $690k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wolfenstein 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wolfenstein 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–7.9M
best case 8.8M (Battlefield™ V)
Games like Wolfenstein 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–7.9M copies

≈ $36.9M–$87.2M after Steam's cut

from ~112k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Battlefield™ V at ≈ 6.7M–10.9M copies, ≈ $92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 47k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and FPS (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + World War II, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
World of Tanks Blitz
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Call of Duty: World at War
2008
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.6M–$49.9M after Steam's cut $33.7M–$76.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesWorld War II
Wolfenstein: The New Order
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.2M–$51.7M after Steam's cut $34.9M–$79.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
FPSAction
Battlefield 4™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.4M–$60.1M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFPS
Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut $167.6M–$381.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
270k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic

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