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How many copies did Rogue Hex sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before Steam's cut
from 284 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rogue Hex and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rogue Hex's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 449k–5.1M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Rogue Hex

A typical game among these

≈ 449k–5.1M copies

≈ $3.0M–$30.1M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Deckbuilding (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Luck be a Landlord
2023
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Tower Knight
2024
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$579–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
17 reviews
Positive
Trailblader
2025
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$987–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
29 reviews
Positive
StrategyFantasy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.