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How many copies did Aeruta sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 63k–102k
$345k–$927k after Steam's cut $627k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Aeruta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aeruta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 68k (Cuisineer)
Games like Aeruta

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $5k–$21k after Steam's cut

from ~69 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Cuisineer at ≈ 52k–84k copies, ≈ $357k–$960k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 58 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 947.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cooking (5 of 8) and Management (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Cooking, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action Roguelike + Wholesome + Dungeon Crawler; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Katy & Bob: Cake Cafe
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut
$14.99
89 reviews
Very Positive
CasualStrategy
Cuisineer
2023
Est. copies
≈ 52k–84k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$357k–$960k after Steam's cut $649k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeCooking
Kitchen Sync: Aloha!
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$19.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
CraftingStory Rich
Cooking Trip
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$14.99
39 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualStrategy
Marenian Tavern Story: Patty and the Hungry God
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut
$19.99
71 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAdventure
豆腐脑模拟器 Tofu Pudding Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$1.99
69 reviews
Mixed
CookingSimulation
My Universe - Cooking Star Restaurant
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$14.99
54 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
Waifu Crush
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$570–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
42 reviews
Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.