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How many copies did 豆腐脑模拟器 Tofu Pudding Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 69 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 豆腐脑模拟器 Tofu Pudding Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 豆腐脑模拟器 Tofu Pudding Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 100k–300k
best case 810k (Disney Dreamlight Valley)
Games like 豆腐脑模拟器 Tofu Pudding Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 100k–300k copies

≈ $898k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disney Dreamlight Valley at ≈ 617k–1.0M copies, ≈ $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 252 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Life Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Character Customization, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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CozyOpen World
Disney Dreamlight Valley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 617k–1.0M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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AgricultureFarming Sim
Kebab Chefs! - Restaurant Simulator
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≈ 202k–327k
1.8x vs typical
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Early AccessMultiplayer
One Hour One Life
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≈ 141k–230k
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Lemon Cake
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≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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SimulationCasual
Echoes of the Plum Grove
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Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
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Chef Life: A Restaurant Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
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$39.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCooking

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.