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How many copies did TrackMania² Canyon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 118k–192k
$650k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TrackMania² Canyon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TrackMania² Canyon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19k–117k
best case 555k (TrackMania² Stadium)
Games like TrackMania² Canyon

A typical game among these

≈ 19k–117k copies

≈ $36k–$226k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: TrackMania² Stadium at ≈ 423k–687k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 25.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Racing (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Barro
2018
Est. copies
≈ 166k–270k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$228k–$613k after Steam's cut $414k–$943k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieRacing
Barro F
2020
Est. copies
≈ 64k–103k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$87k–$234k after Steam's cut $158k–$361k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieRacing
Barro 2020
2019
Est. copies
≈ 62k–100k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndieRacing
TrackMania² Stadium
2013
Est. copies
≈ 423k–687k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMultiplayer
Barro F22
2022
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut
$4.99
666 reviews
Very Positive
IndieRacing
Barro 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$4.99
203 reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieRacing
Barro GT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$87k–$235k after Steam's cut $159k–$362k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieRacing
Barro T23
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut
$4.99
284 reviews
Very Positive
IndieRacing

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