How much revenue did Manual Overcycle make?

$170–$459 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Manual Overcycle sell?

Q: How many copies did Manual Overcycle sell?

124 to 202 copies, based on its 5 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 124–202; $170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut; from 5 reviews (5 user reviews); Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Manual Overcycle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Manual Overcycle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 145k–201k

best case 911k (Descenders)

Games like Manual Overcycle

A typical game among these

≈ 145k–201k copies

≈ $874k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Descenders at ≈ 694k–1.1M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Bikes (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sports + Racing, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Cycling + Great Soundtrack + Procedural Generation; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ride 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 131k–212k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $897k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
Urban Trial Freestyle 2013	Est. copies ≈ 108k–176k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $297k–$800k after Steam's cut $541k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
MotoGP™20 2020	Est. copies ≈ 79k–128k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $434k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $789k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	RacingSports
RIDE 3 2018	Est. copies ≈ 176k–287k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
RIDE 2015	Est. copies ≈ 121k–197k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $666k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	RacingSimulation
BMX Streets 2024	Est. copies ≈ 113k–183k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Very Positive	SportsSimulation
PIPE by BMX Streets 2018	Est. copies ≈ 187k–304k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $514k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $934k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Very Positive	SportsSimulation
Descenders 2019	Est. copies ≈ 694k–1.1M 7.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	24k reviews Very Positive	SportsRacing