How much revenue did Incantation make?

$139k–$374k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Incantation sell?

Q: How many copies did Incantation sell?

30k to 48k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 30k–48k; $139k–$374k after Steam's cut $253k–$576k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Incantation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Incantation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.6M–15.6M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Incantation

A typical game among these

≈ 9.6M–15.6M copies

≈ $61.6M–$168.6M after Steam's cut

from ~381k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 61k reviews in their first month; the range was 35k to 178k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Co-op (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Lethal Company 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12.7M–20.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	511k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Online Co-OpHorror
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op
R.E.P.O. 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10.6M–17.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	427k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	321k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Content Warning 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$7.99	164k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpHorror