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How many copies did Grim Tides - Old School RPG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 41 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grim Tides - Old School RPG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grim Tides - Old School RPG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–104k
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Grim Tides - Old School RPG

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–104k copies

≈ $334k–$645k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 380 reviews in their first month; the range was 322 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Lovecraftian + Difficult + Turn-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Etrian Odyssey HD
2023
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$392k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
113x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
StarCrawlers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$170k–$457k after Steam's cut $309k–$703k before Steam's cut
$19.99
899 reviews
Very Positive
The Bard's Tale IV: Barrows Deep
2018
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mixed
Battle Chasers: Nightwar
2017
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based Combat
Touhou Artificial Dream in Arcadia
2023
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$85k–$228k after Steam's cut $154k–$351k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dungeon CrawlerTurn-Based Combat
Path of Achra
2024
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$222k–$598k after Steam's cut $404k–$920k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeCharacter Customization
Wizardry 8
2013
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$214k–$575k after Steam's cut $389k–$885k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG

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