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How many copies did Sentimental Death Loop sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$26k–$69k after Steam's cut $47k–$107k before Steam's cut
from 189 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sentimental Death Loop and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sentimental Death Loop's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 51k–52k
best case 1.1M (SIGNALIS)
Games like Sentimental Death Loop

A typical game among these

≈ 51k–52k copies

≈ $242k–$354k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: SIGNALIS at ≈ 862k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 709 reviews in their first month; the range was 217 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Psychological Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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3.4x vs typical
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DreadOut 2
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22x vs typical
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ActionPixel Graphics

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