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How many copies did Alisa sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 40k–64k
$196k–$527k after Steam's cut $356k–$811k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alisa and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alisa's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 79k–115k
best case 482k (Look Outside)
Games like Alisa

A typical game among these

≈ 79k–115k copies

≈ $288k–$665k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Look Outside at ≈ 368k–597k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Survival Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Murder House
2020
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$192k–$516k after Steam's cut $349k–$793k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Horror1980s
Crow Country
2024
Est. copies
≈ 207k–337k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Survival HorrorExploration
Metel - Horror Escape
2020
Est. copies
≈ 61k–100k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$50k–$136k after Steam's cut $92k–$209k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorIndie
Look Outside
2025
Est. copies
≈ 368k–597k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
White Knuckle
2025
Est. copies
≈ 367k–597k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessParkour
The Count Lucanor
2016
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$343k–$923k after Steam's cut $624k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
GoreHorror
Tormented Souls
2021
Est. copies
≈ 204k–331k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Happy's Humble Burger Farm
2021
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $749k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFirst-Person

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.