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How many copies did METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
$41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut
from 89k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.9M–7.3M
best case 20.7M (Monster Hunter: World)
Games like METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE

A typical game among these

≈ 6.9M–7.3M copies

≈ $70.8M–$81.9M after Steam's cut

from ~154k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Hunter: World at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (5 of 8) and Third Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Ninja, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
184k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10.3M–16.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$169.4M–$455.5M after Steam's cut $308.0M–$700.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
357k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
Devil May Cry 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$40.6M–$109.2M after Steam's cut $73.9M–$168.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
171k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
518k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer

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