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How many copies did RPG Maker XP sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 125k–203k
$860k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RPG Maker XP and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RPG Maker XP's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 254k–502k
best case 574k (RPG Maker MV)
Games like RPG Maker XP

A typical game among these

≈ 254k–502k copies

≈ $7.0M–$14.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: RPG Maker MV at ≈ 437k–711k copies, ≈ $9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Game Development (8 of 8) and RPGMaker (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RPGMaker + Game Development, priced around $80.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SRPG Studio
2018
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$140k–$378k after Steam's cut $255k–$581k before Steam's cut
$59.99
280 reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentAnimation & Modeling
RPG Paper Maker
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
284 reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentSoftware
RPG Maker 2003
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43k–69k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$234k–$630k after Steam's cut $426k–$969k before Steam's cut
$19.99
873 reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentRPG
RPG Maker VX Ace Lite
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153 reviews
Very Positive
RPGRPGMaker
RPG in a Box
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$65k–$176k after Steam's cut $119k–$271k before Steam's cut
$19.99
480 reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentDesign & Illustration
RPG Maker VX Ace
2012
Est. copies
≈ 328k–533k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.0M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.1M before Steam's cut
$69.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentRPG
RPG Maker MV
2015
Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$79.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
RPGRPGMaker
RPG Maker MZ
2020
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGGame Development

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.