How much revenue did Pengun make?

$408–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pengun sell?

Q: How many copies did Pengun sell?

496 to 806 copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 496–806; $408–$1k after Steam's cut $742–$2k before Steam's cut; from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pengun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pengun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22.2M–101.0M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Pengun

A typical game among these

≈ 22.2M–101.0M copies

≈ $93.6M–$245.8M after Steam's cut

from ~792k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DOOM 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	222k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSGore
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Unturned 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.6M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	565k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySurvival
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Battlefield™ 2042 2021	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $133.3M–$358.3M after Steam's cut $242.3M–$551.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	326k reviews Mixed	FPSMultiplayer