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How many copies did Clover Day's Plus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$232k–$623k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before Steam's cut
from 971 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Clover Day's Plus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Clover Day's Plus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 435k–721k
best case 1.2M (LoveChoice)
Games like Clover Day's Plus

A typical game among these

≈ 435k–721k copies

≈ $1.3M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: LoveChoice at ≈ 910k–1.5M copies, ≈ $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dating Sim (8 of 8) and Romance (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Romance + Dating Sim, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 190k–309k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
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Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
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Hatoful Boyfriend
2014
Est. copies
≈ 425k–690k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
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LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
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A Date with Death
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
Free
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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CLANNAD
2015
Est. copies
≈ 538k–874k
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Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before Steam's cut
$44.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime

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