Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 343k–558k
$944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–3.3M
best case 10.3M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)
Games like Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–3.3M copies

≈ $6.3M–$22.1M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelHistorical
Lobotomy Corporation | Monster Management Simulation
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementDifficult
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
229k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.