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How many copies did Hanctt Origins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$755–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hanctt Origins and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hanctt Origins's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15.0M–21.7M
best case 23.2M (Half-Life 2)
Games like Hanctt Origins

A typical game among these

≈ 15.0M–21.7M copies

≈ $83.9M–$93.6M after Steam's cut

from ~234k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.7M–28.8M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44 reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 239.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and FPS (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2000 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.7M–28.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Counter-Strike
2000
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFPS
The Shore
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$163k–$439k after Steam's cut $297k–$676k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
LovecraftianHorror
Quartermain and the Cult of Cthulhu
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$2.99
138 reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
Shillelagh
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Arena ShooterFPS

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