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How many copies did Terracards sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$47k–$125k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut
from 760 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Terracards and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Terracards's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 352k–389k
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Terracards

A typical game among these

≈ 352k–389k copies

≈ $2.0M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Roguelike Deckbuilder (5 of 5) and Deckbuilding (4 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Card Battler + Card Game + Turn-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Luck be a Landlord
2023
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Backpack Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 212k–344k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueTurn-Based
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Book of Demons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.