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How many copies did Hitman: Contracts sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 207k–337k
$512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $931k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hitman: Contracts and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hitman: Contracts's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–2.2M
best case 6.3M (Assassin's Creed® Unity)
Games like Hitman: Contracts

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–2.2M copies

≈ $19.0M–$22.8M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Unity at ≈ 4.8M–7.8M copies, ≈ $39.7M–$106.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Assassin (8 of 8) and Stealth (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Assassin + Stealth, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.0M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Assassin's Creed 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.5M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Hitman: Absolution™
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Assassin's Creed® Unity
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$39.7M–$106.8M after Steam's cut $72.2M–$164.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
86k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldParkour
Assassin's Creed® Syndicate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
AssassinOpen World
HITMAN World of Assassination
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin

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