How much revenue did Lost:Antinomy make?

$22k–$59k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lost:Antinomy sell?

Q: How many copies did Lost:Antinomy sell?

27k to 43k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 27k–43k; $22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lost:Antinomy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost:Antinomy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 481k–738k

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Lost:Antinomy

A typical game among these

≈ 481k–738k copies

≈ $2.2M–$10.1M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 555 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Summer Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
The Test 2020	Est. copies ≈ 499k–810k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 40x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Garfield Kart 2015	Est. copies ≈ 691k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Cult ClassicCombat Racing
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Persona® 5 Strikers 2021	Est. copies ≈ 455k–740k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeHack and Slash
Cassette Beasts 2023	Est. copies ≈ 277k–450k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	ControllerComedy
Winter Memories 2024	Est. copies ≈ 265k–430k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentMature