How much revenue did GINKA make?

$445k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did GINKA sell?

Q: How many copies did GINKA sell?

70k to 114k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 70k–114k; $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GINKA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GINKA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–198k

best case 389k (Find Love or Die Trying)

Games like GINKA

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–198k copies

≈ $9k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Find Love or Die Trying at ≈ 296k–481k copies, ≈ $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 256 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Emotional (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Visual Novel, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Summer Pockets 2020	Est. copies ≈ 123k–200k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut	$44.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureVisual Novel
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
Outdoor Adventures With Marisa Kirisame 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut	$4.99	144 reviews Very Positive	CasualVisual Novel
Fate/stay night REMASTERED 2024	Est. copies ≈ 122k–199k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Find Love or Die Trying 2021	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Dating SimVisual Novel
You, With Me - A Kinetic Novel 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $962–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$2.99	34 reviews Mostly Negative	Visual NovelText-Based
Christmas Celebration With Sakuya Izayoi 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut	$3.99	173 reviews Very Positive	AnimeCasual
Seedsow Lullaby 2024	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$334k before Steam's cut	$20.99	564 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAdventure