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How big is My Camp of Memories: Episode 1?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–4k
from 99 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid My Camp of Memories: Episode 1 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including My Camp of Memories: Episode 1's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 389k–451k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like My Camp of Memories: Episode 1

A typical game among these

≈ 389k–451k copies

≈ $770k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 922 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Dating Sim (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Psychological Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 223k–362k
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Sexual ContentDating Sim
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
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≈ 813k–1.3M
2.7x vs typical
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Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
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Visual NovelChoices Matter
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
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≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Visual NovelRomance
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Find Love or Die Trying
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $739k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel

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