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How many copies did SPIDER MALL ! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 84 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SPIDER MALL ! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SPIDER MALL !'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 692–879
best case 668k (Her Story)
Games like SPIDER MALL !

A typical game among these

≈ 692–879 copies

≈ $308–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Her Story at ≈ 509k–827k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 334.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FMV (7 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Investigation + Typing, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
426x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Late Shift
2017
Est. copies
≈ 319k–518k
378x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterFMV
I Saw Black Clouds
2021
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$68k–$184k after Steam's cut $124k–$282k before Steam's cut
$14.99
668 reviews
Mixed
SingleplayerChoices Matter
MADE VR : Interactive Movie - 01. Run away!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$796–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$8.99
13 reviews
Mostly Negative
AdventurePuzzle
Death Come True
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
39x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$105k–$281k after Steam's cut $190k–$433k before Steam's cut
$15.99
960 reviews
Mostly Positive
FMVAdventure
Bloody Service
2020
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$5.99
33 reviews
Positive
FMVHorror
ROUGH KUTS: Night of the Living Dead
2021
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$162–$436 after Steam's cut $295–$670 before Steam's cut
$0.99
24 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualInteractive Fiction
Single Player: Horror
2022
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$169–$454 after Steam's cut $307–$699 before Steam's cut
$0.99
25 reviews
Mixed
FMVAction

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