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How many copies did Sancticide sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
from 136 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sancticide and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Sancticide's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.9M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Sancticide

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–3.9M copies

≈ $34.8M–$84.1M after Steam's cut

from ~74k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 5) and Combat (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Mythology + Souls-like + Action RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 5 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The First Berserker: Khazan
2025
Est. copies
≈ 812k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.0M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDifficult
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$39.8M–$106.9M after Steam's cut $72.3M–$164.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
God of War Ragnarök
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.