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How many copies did UltraNothing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 54 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid UltraNothing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UltraNothing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–22.0M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like UltraNothing

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–22.0M copies

≈ $27.6M–$89.9M after Steam's cut

from ~72k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rob Riches
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$6.99
81 reviews
Very Positive
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Soulless: Ray Of Hope
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$4.99
330 reviews
Mostly Positive
Side ScrollerSokoban
Mysterious House
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
26 reviews
Mostly Positive
Side ScrollerSokoban
Button Button Up!
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$11.99
180 reviews
Very Positive
Sokoban2D Platformer
Schein
2014
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$4.99
330 reviews
Mostly Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller

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