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How many copies did Astra Ignota sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 56 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Astra Ignota and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Astra Ignota's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–22k
best case 52k (Last Call BBS)
Games like Astra Ignota

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–22k copies

≈ $8k–$80k after Steam's cut

from ~254 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Last Call BBS at ≈ 40k–64k copies, ≈ $218k–$585k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 129 reviews in their first month; the range was 64 to 393.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Solitaire (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Automation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shisensho Solitaire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$1.99
88 reviews
Very Positive
SolitairePuzzle
Last Call BBS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 40k–64k
6.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$218k–$585k after Steam's cut $396k–$900k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRetro
Free Solitaire
2024
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
874 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SolitaireCard Game
The Answer Is 42
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$1.99
171 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleTabletop
Regency Solitaire II
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$14.99
249 reviews
Very Positive
SolitairePuzzle
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before Steam's cut
$14.99
486 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualAdventure
Last Resort Island
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$17k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
$8.99
220 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Pythagoria
2016
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut
$1.99
259 reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleEducation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.