How much revenue did Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret make?

$61k–$164k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret sell?

Q: How many copies did Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret sell?

15k to 24k copies, based on its 486 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 15k–24k; $61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before Steam's cut; from 486 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–15k

best case 209k (Faerie Solitaire)

Games like Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–15k copies

≈ $33k–$74k after Steam's cut

from ~317 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Faerie Solitaire at ≈ 160k–259k copies, ≈ $658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Board Game, priced around $12.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Faerie Solitaire Remastered 2017	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut	$14.99	640 reviews Very Positive	Card GameBoard Game
Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle 2021	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut	$1.99	557 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleTabletop
Regency Solitaire 2015	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $145k–$389k after Steam's cut $263k–$598k before Steam's cut	$11.99	899 reviews Very Positive	SolitaireVisual Novel
Regency Solitaire II 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut	$14.99	249 reviews Very Positive	SolitairePuzzle
Cat Lady - The Card Game 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut	$3.99	327 reviews Very Positive	CasualStrategy
Pretty Girls Mahjong Solitaire 2015	Est. copies ≈ 36k–59k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut	$4.99	741 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualAnime
Alice's Patchworks 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $54k–$146k after Steam's cut $99k–$225k before Steam's cut	$14.99	317 reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
Faerie Solitaire 2010	Est. copies ≈ 160k–259k 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	SolitaireCasual