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How many copies did Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–22k
$8k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
from 557 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 151k–428k
best case 1.8M (Liar's Bar)
Games like Island Farmer - Jigsaw Puzzle

A typical game among these

≈ 151k–428k copies

≈ $942k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Liar's Bar at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 12k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (4 of 8) and Board Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Gambling, priced around $7.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Instant Farmer - Logic Puzzle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$1.99
243 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleLogic
Emi's Country Store and Farm
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
$7.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
FarmingAgriculture
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 109k–178k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $928k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$16.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameLocal Multiplayer
Liar's Bar
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
Viridi
2015
Est. copies
≈ 471k–766k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
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Very Positive
Free to PlayRelaxing
Niche - a genetics survival game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$891k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyAdventure
Puzzle Together Multiplayer Jigsaw Puzzles
2020
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Root
2020
Est. copies
≈ 139k–226k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$572k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameTabletop

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