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How big is Viridi?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 471k–766k
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Viridi and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Viridi's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–4.0M
best case 9.2M (theHunter: Call of the Wild™)
Games like Viridi

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–4.0M copies

≈ $26.5M–$64.4M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: theHunter: Call of the Wild™ at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Sandbox (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox. The breakout hits carry Life Sim + Character Customization + Romance; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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The Sims™ 4
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≈ 5.0M–8.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Life SimCharacter Customization
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
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RacingPhysics
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
Planet Zoo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
98k reviews
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Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Free
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FishingFree to Play
Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.0M after Steam's cut $67.6M–$153.8M before Steam's cut
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72k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Farming Simulator 19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
76k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.