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How many copies did Farming Simulator 19 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.5M before Steam's cut
from 76k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Farming Simulator 19 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Farming Simulator 19's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.0M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Farming Simulator 19

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies

≈ $19.4M–$23.4M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Management (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + RPG + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Farming Simulator 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
My Time at Portia
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimRPG
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
FishingFree to Play
Core Keeper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.0M–$29.5M after Steam's cut $20.0M–$45.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
EmotionalStory Rich

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