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How many copies did LYMBUS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$750–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LYMBUS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LYMBUS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 448k–685k
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like LYMBUS

A typical game among these

≈ 448k–685k copies

≈ $3.9M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Pixel Graphics + Replay Value; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Hand of Fate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
月圆之夜 (Night of Full Moon)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 317k–516k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameFree to Play
Meme Mayhem
2024
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive

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