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How many copies did PANICORE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 323k–524k
$886k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
from 13k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PANICORE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PANICORE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28.5M–69.5M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like PANICORE

A typical game among these

≈ 28.5M–69.5M copies

≈ $211.6M–$339.6M after Steam's cut

from ~842k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Battle Royale + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Don't Starve Together
2016
Est. copies
≈ 22.6M–36.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
544k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP

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