How much revenue did Christmas Girls make?

$594–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Christmas Girls sell?

Q: How many copies did Christmas Girls sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 88 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $594–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut; from 88 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Christmas Girls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Christmas Girls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 582k–887k

best case 3.3M (Mirror)

Games like Christmas Girls

A typical game among these

≈ 582k–887k copies

≈ $1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Mirror at ≈ 2.6M–4.1M copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 555 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Mature (8 of 8) and Nudity (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Nudity, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Action Taimanin 2020	Est. copies ≈ 482k–783k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	19k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Mirror 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.1M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$1.99	84k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Crush Crush 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Summer Memories 2020	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 0 2015	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeNudity
Soul Dossier 2021	Est. copies ≈ 693k–1.1M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
VillageRhapsody 2023	Est. copies ≈ 404k–657k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
HuniePop 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	NudityMature