How much revenue did Watermelon Suika Game make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Watermelon Suika Game sell?

Q: How many copies did Watermelon Suika Game sell?

918 to 1k copies, based on its 37 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 918–1k; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 37 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Watermelon Suika Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Watermelon Suika Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k

best case 11k (Candy Blast)

Games like Watermelon Suika Game

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~64 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Candy Blast at ≈ 8k–13k copies, ≈ $11k–$30k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 90.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Clicker (7 of 8) and Match 3 (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Clicker + Puzzle, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Jewel Puzzle Click 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$4.99	37 reviews Mixed	Time ManagementPuzzle-Platformer
IllusionCircle 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $662–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$0.99	98 reviews Very Positive	CasualPuzzle
Milky Way Map 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $505–$1k after Steam's cut $918–$2k before Steam's cut	$0.99	61 reviews Very Positive	CasualStrategy
Candy Blast 2016	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut	$4.99	194 reviews Mixed	ClickerPuzzle
Mighty Gemstones 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$1.99	67 reviews Mixed	CasualIndie
Swipe Fruit Smash 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$4.99	48 reviews Mixed	Time ManagementPuzzle-Platformer
Fruit: Chain Effect 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	108 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualPuzzle
Brain Games 2021	Est. copies ≈ 818–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut	$5.99	33 reviews Mostly Positive	SportsEducation