How much revenue did Detective Grimoire make?

$282k–$759k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Detective Grimoire sell?

Q: How many copies did Detective Grimoire sell?

147k to 239k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 147k–239k; $282k–$759k after Steam's cut $513k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Detective Grimoire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Detective Grimoire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 271k–534k

best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)

Games like Detective Grimoire

A typical game among these

≈ 271k–534k copies

≈ $1.5M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Detention 2017	Est. copies ≈ 407k–661k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$11.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
Breakout 13 2023	Est. copies ≈ 186k–302k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $928k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Very Positive	FMVInteractive Fiction
Her Story 2015	Est. copies ≈ 509k–827k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	InvestigationTyping
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelEmotional
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	132k reviews Very Positive	RPGStory Rich
Homicipher 2024	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $796k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$13.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorOtome