How much revenue did Arctic Eggs make?

$422k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arctic Eggs sell?

Q: How many copies did Arctic Eggs sell?

154k to 250k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 154k–250k; $422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arctic Eggs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arctic Eggs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18.6M–31.0M

best case 38.8M (Portal 2)

Games like Arctic Eggs

A typical game among these

≈ 18.6M–31.0M copies

≈ $71.6M–$119.6M after Steam's cut

from ~427k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 67k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Physics (5 of 8) and Cooking (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
R.E.P.O. 2025	Est. copies ≈ 10.6M–17.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	427k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Half-Life 2 2004	Est. copies ≈ 17.7M–28.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
CyberCook 2025	Est. copies ≈ 298–484 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $737–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$8.99	12 reviews Positive	ExplorationCyberpunk
All Hail The Cook-o-tron 2020	Est. copies ≈ 546–887 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$7.99	22 reviews Mixed	SimulationAction
Cyber Puncake 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $96–$257 after Steam's cut $175–$396 before Steam's cut	$6.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	SimulationCasual
Bonkies 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut	$14.99	43 reviews Positive	BuildingPuzzle
French Fries Pusher Friends 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$3.99	45 reviews Mixed	Time ManagementBullet Hell