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How many copies did Space Sprouts sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 70 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Space Sprouts and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Space Sprouts's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 246k–520k
best case 1.1M (Superliminal)
Games like Space Sprouts

A typical game among these

≈ 246k–520k copies

≈ $1.5M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Superliminal at ≈ 848k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 819 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + First-Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
The Entropy Centre
2022
Est. copies
≈ 111k–180k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$609k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Supraland
2019
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Amnesia: Rebirth
2020
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Viewfinder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Zup! X
2018
Est. copies
≈ 208k–338k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$114k–$306k after Steam's cut $207k–$471k before Steam's cut
$1.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Hidden Deep
2022
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$869k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessShooter

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