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How many copies did Mister 9 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$816–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mister 9 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mister 9's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–9.1M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Mister 9

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–9.1M copies

≈ $14.3M–$56.4M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
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Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Infestation: The New Z
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
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34k reviews
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ZombiesFree to Play
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
The Evil Within
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 309k–501k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
6k reviews
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MultiplayerFPS
Just Survive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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Counter-Strike Nexon
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–4.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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43k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS

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