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How many copies did Counter-Strike Nexon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.4M–4.0M
from 43k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Counter-Strike Nexon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Counter-Strike Nexon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–2.6M
best case 25.5M (Unturned)
Games like Counter-Strike Nexon

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–2.6M copies

≈ $14.6M–$16.3M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unturned at ≈ 19.4M–31.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $47. The breakout hits carry Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Just Survive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Mixed
ZombiesSurvival
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Call of Pripyat
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.9M–$29.4M after Steam's cut $19.9M–$45.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericOpen World
Brick Rigs
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.0M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
SandboxDestruction
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Miscreated
2018
Est. copies
≈ 960k–1.6M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.3M after Steam's cut $14.4M–$32.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Clear Sky
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAtmospheric

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