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How many copies did Masternoid sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Masternoid and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Masternoid's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 57–2k
best case 6k (69 Ways to Kill a Zombie)
Games like Masternoid

A typical game among these

≈ 57–2k copies

≈ $114–$10k after Steam's cut

from ~6 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 69 Ways to Kill a Zombie at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $7k–$18k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 15 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Arcade (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Zombies, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

69 Ways to Kill a Zombie
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$4.99
140 reviews
Mixed
VRZombies
The Rhythm of the Knight
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$204–$550 after Steam's cut $370–$846 before Steam's cut
$9.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionArcade
Banana Invaders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 230–374
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8 reviews
8 user reviews
ActionCasual
Xion
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$9.99
54 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie
Pixel Ripped 1978: An Atari Adventure
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$24.99
61 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRVoxel
Anti Air
2020
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
VRArcade
BBB: Balls Bangs Blocks
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55–$146 after Steam's cut $100–$224 before Steam's cut
$7.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualArcade
Crush Lab
2024
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $62–$140 before Steam's cut
$4.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
VRPhysics

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