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How many copies did Revue Starlight El Dorado sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$204k–$549k after Steam's cut $372k–$845k before Steam's cut
from 999 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Revue Starlight El Dorado and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Revue Starlight El Dorado's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 275k–455k
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Revue Starlight El Dorado

A typical game among these

≈ 275k–455k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.4M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 800 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Cyberpunk + Story Rich + Dystopian ; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

missed messages.
2019
Est. copies
≈ 448k–728k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayVisual Novel
Blush Blush
2020
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentLGBTQ+
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
BAD END THEATER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CyberpunkVisual Novel
A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Marco & The Galaxy Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel

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